We monitor the weekly SPY chart and present it to our subscribers every Friday in our DP Weekly Wrap. We have been watching a bearish rising wedge on the weekly chart. The rising wedge pattern implies that you will get a breakdown from the rising bottoms trendline. That is exactly what happened this week. The one problem with these patterns is that they don’t give us a minimum downside target as most chart patterns provide. For me, my back of the napkin calculation is to look at the beginning of the pattern and determine the height. That is at around 60 points (500 + 60 = height of the back of the pattern). That would imply a drop of the same amount from the breakdown point. It happened just under 600 so I would say the downside target of the pattern would be to 540 which is a strong area…
